This week the LIV Golf of Indianapolis is taking place, a tournament that will close the individual 2025 season of LIV Golf. Next Sunday we will know, therefore, the champion of the ranking, or in other words, the player who will pocket the 18 million dollar bonus and who will take over from Jon Rahm, last year’s champion. Mathematically, there are only two possible candidates. One is Joaquín Niemann, who arrives as the leader of the individual classification for this final event with a total of 208.43 points. The other is Jon Rahm, second with a total of 196.16 points. The third is Bryson DeChambeau and he no longer has a mathematical chance of catching Niemann. In Indianapolis, we will therefore witness a two-man battle.
Niemann and Rahm are separated by only 12.27 points. It’s not a large amount, but it’s enough for the favourite to be the Chilean golfer. He has an advantage he has earned with his five victories this year and it could be decisive for the resolution of the individual title. Even so, Rahm has managed to reach the final tournament with a chance and, although difficult, it is not impossible, far from it. At the very least, Rahm would have to finish in Indianapolis tied for seventh with one other to have any mathematical chance. Anything worse than that is a title for Niemann. If we look at Jon’s trajectory in LIV Golf, it turns out that in the 24 individual tournaments he has played, he has finished tied for 7th with one or better on 17 occasions. That’s over 70 percent of the time. In other words, it is very likely that Jon will achieve his goal this week. After that, of course, it will depend on what Niemann does to know if he wins the individual title.
Here are all the scenarios for Jon to end up as the 2025 LIV Golf champion:
– If Jon finishes tied for 7th with one, Niemann would have to finish 25th alone or worse. It would also work for the man from Barrika if Niemann finishes 21st tied with five other players.
– If Jon finishes 7th alone, the scenarios are identical. 25th alone or worse or 21 tied with 5.
– If Jon finishes 6th alone, Joaco should be 20th tied with one or worse.
– If Jon finishes 5th alone, Niemann should be 15th tied with one or worse.
– If Jon finishes 4th, Joaco would have to finish 13th tied with one or worse.
– If Jon finishes 3rd, Niemann should be 8th tied with one or worse.
– If Jon finishes 2nd, Joaco would have to be 4th tied with one or worse.
– If Jon wins the tournament, Joaco should be 2nd tied with another or worse.
In other words, if Jon were to win the tournament in Indianapolis, the reality is that he would have a lot of chances, as Niemann would only need to be second alone. Anything finishing among the top three would give the Spaniard a good chance.
Let’s remember that the total bonus distributed to the individual ranking is 34 million dollars and is distributed as follows:
– The first receives 18 million
– The second receives 12 million
– The third receives 4 million
Only Rahm and Niemann can finish first or second, or in other words, Jon has already secured an extra 12 million dollars. Meanwhile, for the third position and that four million bonus, DeChambeau, Burmester, Gooch, and Reed still have mathematical chances.
